
Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

Ankara has long sought to establish a buffer zone to protect Turkey from the effects of the Syrian civil war, but as the Turkish government finally gets closer to getting what it wants, its aspirations will crash into geopolitical reality.

The countries' air defenses are ill-equipped to stop Israeli strikes on their soil. Improving their capabilities, however, might open a whole new can of worms.

In what will probably be the last chance to reach an exit agreement before Brexit day on Oct. 31, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will meet with the rest of the leaders of the European Union in a summit in Brussels on Oct. 17.

A review of the world's most pressing geopolitical events and insight into what the coming week will bring.


With neither striving for a comprehensive solution to bilateral disagreements, Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping will settle for not rocking the boat when they meet this weekend.

The U.S. Congress and the European Union are threatening to punish Ankara for its military operation against the Kurds in northeastern Syria. It's a price Turkey appears willing to pay.

The Naval Update Map shows the approximate current locations of U.S. Carrier Strike Groups (CSGs) and Amphibious Ready Groups (ARGs), based on available open-source information.

'One country, two systems' was always little more than a useful fiction for Beijing: Hong Kong is a piece of China, and its eventual integration with the mainland is inevitable.
By Rodger Baker

Stay informed about the significant meetings and events the Stratfor team is tracking.

The countries' air defenses are ill-equipped to stop Israeli strikes on their soil. Improving their capabilities, however, might open a whole new can of worms.

Ankara has long sought to establish a buffer zone to protect Turkey from the effects of the Syrian civil war, but as the Turkish government finally gets closer to getting what it wants, its aspirations will crash into geopolitical reality.

In what will probably be the last chance to reach an exit agreement before Brexit day on Oct. 31, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson will meet with the rest of the leaders of the European Union in a summit in Brussels on Oct. 17.

A review of the world's most pressing geopolitical events and insight into what the coming week will bring.

The Iraqi government's tried-and-true solutions to unrest -- promising jobs and handing out money -- are losing their power to persuade as the economy's weaknesses endure.

With neither striving for a comprehensive solution to bilateral disagreements, Narendra Modi and Xi Jinping will settle for not rocking the boat when they meet this weekend.

Ankara wants to accomplish its objectives before Kurdish-led forces can shore up their resistance and to minimize the international backlash that's already building.

Negotiators announced Oct. 11 that they have an initial agreement in the works. It's a positive step forward, but as with previous cease-fires in the U.S.-China trade war, disagreements over the details could again dash hopes.

The U.S. Congress and the European Union are threatening to punish Ankara for its military operation against the Kurds in northeastern Syria. It's a price Turkey appears willing to pay.

The Ukrainian president is facing familiar obstacles as he seeks to withdraw forces from eastern Ukraine and implement a political settlement for the separatist region.

A hike in fuel subsidies has ignited a brushfire of protest that could engulf President Lenin Moreno's administration, opening the door for the return of a populist leader.

Hungry for movement and sensing an opportunity, North Korea will chart a more assertive course in negotiations with Washington.

Long-standing frustrations over a lack of economic opportunity and unsolved corruption issues are feeding unrest that appears poised to intensify.

Putin's acknowledgment of Russian involvement in the strategic Chinese project highlights how mutual concerns over U.S. actions have tightened their ties.

Invoking emergency powers would give the city's chief executive broad authority to try to end Hong Kong's monthslong protests. It also risks making matters even worse.

'One country, two systems' was always little more than a useful fiction for Beijing: Hong Kong is a piece of China, and its eventual integration with the mainland is inevitable.
By Rodger Baker

Given the appetite for drugs in the United States, the influx of low-priced, high-quality methamphetamine from Mexico is unlikely to abate anytime soon.

A mutual desire to end their long conflict makes an agreement a matter of when, not if. But long-lasting stability will only happen after the insurgents come to terms with the Afghan government.

Mexico's government can never kill or capture enough cartel bosses to stem the country's breathtaking levels of violence. If it truly gets tough on corruption and earns locals' trust, though, it could begin to make some headway.

Huge problems, from government infighting to rampant corruption, skyrocketing unemployment and more, have beset South Africa. More worryingly for the country, the ruling ANC has few ideas how to solve the mess.

A recent indictment in New York reveals details of the terrorist skills training given to a man who later became a U.S. citizen, raising the possibility that other operatives may remain undetected.

Historical, geographic and other patterns may grant insight into coming events, but they’re by no means a crystal ball when it comes to forecasting.
By Rodger Baker

Security departments can stay ahead of would-be assailants by preparing for tomorrow's threat -- rather than guarding against yesterday's attack.


In this short video Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl discusses three events to watch for this week.



Stratfor explains Uzbekistan's struggle to maintain internal unity while balancing against its regional neighbors and external powers.

In this short video South Asia Analyst Faisel Pervaiz discusses three events to watch for in the week.

In this short video, Middle East and North Africa Analyst Emily Hawthorne discusses three events to watch for in the week.

In this short video, Middle East and North Africa Analyst Ryan Bohl discusses three events to watch for in the week.

The government recently pushed out a U.N. anti-corruption commission and signed an asylum agreement with the U.S. A failure to pursue corruption will exacerbate the conditions that drive Guatemalans north, and further anger the White House.

Each member state contributes revenue to the European Union's budget, but it's been argued that not every country is pulling its weight.

With heightened tensions in the Persian Gulf, it may be time for the region's Arab states to recalibrate their security arrangements, and Asian countries -- which are the region's main economic partners -- could play a role.

The arrest of the former presidential candidate and first lady will have the incoming administration treading carefully to find a workable cure for Guatemala's electoral sickness.

Hezbollah's pretext for keeping its arsenal is to liberate Lebanese territory. An Israeli withdrawal from Shebaa Farms would force Hezbollah to prove its intent if nothing else.

The West sees two geostrategic questions regarding China: adapt to its growing strength or confront it? Future historians might see recent Western behavior toward China as something else entirely.
By Ian Morris

It's geopolitics, not business opportunities, that makes Asian leaders seek meetings with Vladimir Putin.
By Artyom Lukin

For years, Turkey's ruling party has marginalized Kurdish voters. Now, Istanbul's new mayor and his political party sense an opportunity to reach out to the community.
By Sinan Ciddi

The country's prosperity and growth depend on a critical resource it increasingly mismanages.

Georgia's neo-Nazi movement is growing fast, whether thanks to indifference or connivance on the part of the country's political and ecclesiastical authorities.

Revolutionary credentials and long political experience positioned the leader to nurture the country's fledgling democracy.

The heightened interest in cryptocurrencies across the Gulf is taking place alongside global efforts to both regulate digital assets and attract cryptocurrency firms.